AI Predictions

Planted
Last tended

The following predictions are graded on Intelligence Community Directive (ICD) 203 standard.

Primary Term Alternative Term Probability Range
Almost certain(ly) Nearly certain 95% – 99%
Very likely Highly probable 80% – 95%
Likely Probable (probably) 55% – 80%
Roughly even chance Roughly even odds 45% – 55%
Unlikely Improbable (improbably) 20% – 45%
Very unlikely Highly improbable 5% – 20%
Almost no chance Remote 1% – 5%